A new season, a new special computer crunching the numbers to determine the final Premier League positions for 2016/17.
Fans who want to watch the Euro Club Index’s final results after each matchday can do so by clicking here.
Who goes down?! Who is the current favourite to lift the title this year.
Well you don’t have to guess, the link above will tell you, as will looking further down this piece.
With some playing as many as 34 games in the Premier League season of 2016/17, the current favourite to lift the title by 96.3% are the current leaders – Chelsea. Their position hasn’t changed for most of the season, but the % chance of them lifting the crown has dipped in light of most recent results.
The computer currently has them remaining in top spot, ahead of Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City (who swap positions) with Tottenham Hotspur now given a predicted points total of 81 to Chelsea’s 88 and that’s now grown to a four point gap on City, up by two.
Liverpool and Manchester United take fourth and fifth place with a predicted points tally of 76 and 72 respectively, but Arsenal continue to sit in sixth place now only expected to reach the 69 mark.
The three sides currently predicted for the drop are Swansea City on 34, Middlesbrough on 30 and Sunderland down on only 26 now.
With roughly 32 games gone this year (give or take those on 31, 33 and 34 there is no fairytale repeat given Leicester City’s entirely unexpected success last season, and other sides like Chelsea hugely falling away based on their own expectations – and the top six now contains the clubs you would more naturally expect there but maybe not entirely in the order you’d anticipate.
Looking seventh place and down the table it’s also taking on a more expected appearance but West Bromwich Albion are bucking the trend although they drop to ninth place, and others like Stoke City, Leicester City and West Ham United will be pleased with their expected finish – but they certainly aren’t alone.
The one thing that can’t be denied with so few games remaining in the year is a number of clubs will now be very disappointed with where they find themselves and they’ll be looking for a significant turn of form quickly as there’s no longer a long way to go and points are still up for grabs but running out.
The methodology can be found on the website via the above link.
|
Pos
|
Team
|
Matches
|
Real Points
|
Pred Points
|
Title %
|
|
1
|
Chelsea
|
32
|
75
|
88
|
96.3
|
|
2
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
32
|
71
|
81
|
3.6
|
|
3
|
Manchester City
|
32
|
64
|
77
|
0.4
|
|
4
|
Liverpool
|
34
|
66
|
76
|
0.0
|
|
5
|
Manchester United
|
32
|
63
|
72
|
0.0
|
|
6
|
Arsenal
|
31
|
57
|
69
|
0.3
|
|
7
|
Everton
|
34
|
58
|
64
|
0.0
|
|
8
|
Southampton
|
31
|
40
|
49
|
0.0
|
|
9
|
West Bromwich Albion
|
33
|
44
|
49
|
0.0
|
|
10
|
Stoke City
|
34
|
39
|
45
|
0.0
|
|
11
|
Leicester City
|
32
|
37
|
45
|
0.0
|
|
12
|
Watford
|
33
|
40
|
45
|
0.0
|
|
13
|
Burnley
|
34
|
36
|
42
|
0.0
|
|
14
|
West Ham United
|
34
|
38
|
42
|
0.0
|
|
15
|
Bournemouth
|
34
|
38
|
42
|
0.0
|
|
16
|
Crystal Palace
|
33
|
38
|
40
|
0.0
|
|
17
|
Hull City
|
34
|
33
|
36
|
0.0
|
|
18
|
Swansea City
|
34
|
31
|
34
|
0.0
|
|
19
|
Middlesbrough
|
33
|
24
|
30
|
0.0
|
|
20
|
Sunderland
|
32
|
21
|
26
|
0.0
|
